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  • Highway Trust Fund to Shut Down Monday

    The opposite of progress is at it again:

    The federal Highway Trust Fund will shut down first thing Monday, suspending all payments to state transportation departments, and four U.S. Department of Transportation agencies are expected to furlough employees beginning Tuesday after Congress was unable to reach an agreement this week on legislation to extend surface transportation authorization past its Sunday expiration date.

    “No reimbursements to states for their share of federal highway funds, no vouchers they have submitted or will submit to the Federal Administration will be able to be paid beginning Monday, March 1,” House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee Chairman James Oberstar, D-MN, told reporters on a conference call this afternoon. “The shutdown of the federal highway program means the Federal Highway Administration will not be able to reimburse states for any federal highway or transit funds.”

    The immediate cause is the following:

    Senate Democratic leaders kept the chamber in session until near midnight late Thursday night attempting to gain approval of the House’s one-month extension bill. However, Sen. Jim Bunning, R-KY, continued objecting to multiple requests to adopt the legislation by unanimous consent. Under Senate rules, all senators must concur to passing a bill without a formal debate or vote. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-NV, said Bunning was the only senator who refused to agree to allow the bill to pass to buy Congress an additional month to work out an agreement on a longer-term extension.

    Bunning said he objected because the extensions were not paid for. He proposed covering the bill’s $10.3 billion cost by rescinding unobligated balances from the recovery act, an amendment Reid declined to accept.

    “I’ll be here as long as you’re here and as long as all those other senators are here and I’m going to object every time because you won’t pay for this and you propose never to pay for it,” Bunning said Thursday night. “We have a debt of $14 trillion. We can’t sustain it.”

    This is one place where I profoundly disagree with many in my own party.  Transportation spending, especially if properly done, is an investment with productivity returns for our economy, and they in the long run pay for themselves.  This is more than one can say for most entitlement programs (which take such a large portion of our budget,) but even the Republicans are scared to take those on.

    Beneath the surface, however, we have this problem:

    In the House, Oberstar opposes the Senate’s 10-month authorization language because of three significant differences with what the House has approved.

    Oberstar said in a statement issued last Friday that he has serious concerns regarding how the Senate’s version earmarks two discretionary highway categories so that four states (California, Illinois, Louisiana, and Washington state) receive 58 percent of the $932 million allocated and 22 states receive zero. The House version would allow the U.S. Department of Transportation to select projects to use the categories’ funds on a competitive basis based on merit. The two categories are Projects of National and Regional Significance and the National Corridor Infrastructure Improvement Program.

    That could be driving much of this logjam.  It’s the same problem we saw in the health care debate.  Many state DOT’s have the reputation for serious politicisation of their road spending; if we start making this a habit on the federal level, we’re going to have serious problems.

  • It's Easy Being Vice President. You Don't Have to Do Anything.

    Joe Biden tells it like it is…
    http://c.brightcove.com/services/viewer/federated_f8/1155201977

    And it’s too bad his boss hasn’t figured out that, sometimes, it’s best not to do anything!

  • Tony Perkins Gets the Boot From the National Prayer Luncheon

    Disappointing but unsurprising:

    Two days after President Obama’s State of the Union speech, in which he announced plans to repeal “Don’t ask, Don’t tell,” Perkins received a letter from the chaplain’s office at Andrews rescinding the invitation.

    The letter cited Family Research Council statements calling them “incompatible in our role as military members who serve our elected officials and our commander in chief.”

    The current main preoccupation of the military these days is to combat Islamic careerists in their quest for the expansion of the dar-al-salaam.  As a Vanderbilt University faculty member reminded us recently, homosexuality is punishable by death under Islamic law and the implementation of that law is a goal of same careerists.

    The LGBT community has two choices: it can either allow the military (where Evangelicals are well represented) to protect them from their real enemies or it can demoralise large portions of the population to the point where they won’t bother to defend others’ right to exist.  To some extent, that’s what happened in the Roman Empire (in that case over taxation and the government’s suppression of groups such as the Donatists and Monophysites) in the years before Muhammad’s successors swept out of Arabia and conquered much of the civilised world.

  • Coastal Engineering in the Classical World

    Another excerpt from the Coastal Engineering Manual, this time concerning coastal development and construction in the Greco-Roman world and before that.  It should be of interest to ancient history aficionados and engineers alike.

    I-3-1.  Ancient World

    The history of coastal engineering reaches back to the ancient world bordering the Mediterranean Sea, the Red Sea, and the Persian Gulf.  Coastal engineering, as it relates to harbours, starts with the development of maritime traffic, perhaps before 3500 B.C.  Shipping was fundamental to culture and the growth of civilization, and the expansion of navigation and communication in turn drove the practice of coastal engineering.  The availability of a large slave labour force during this era meant that docks, breakwaters, and other harbour works were built by hand and often in a grand scale similar to their monumental contemporaries, pyramids, temples, and palaces.  Some of the harbour works are still visible today, while others have recently been explored by archaeologists.  Most of the grander ancient harbour works disappeared following the fall of the Roman Empire.  Earthquakes have buried some of the works, others have been submerged by subsidence, landlocked by silting, or lost through lack of maintenance.  Recently, archaeologists, using modern survey techniques, excavations, and old documents, have revealed some of the sophisticated engineering in these old harbours.  Technically interesting features have shown up and are now reappearing in modern port designs.  Common to most ancient ports was a well-planned and effectively located seawall or breakwater for protection and a quay or mole for loading vessels, features frequently included in modern ports (Quinn  1972).

    Most ancient coastal efforts were directed to port structures, with the exception of a few places where life depended on coastline protection.  Venice and its lagoon is one such case.  Here, sea defenses (hydraulic and military) were necessary for the survival of the narrow coastal strips, and impressive shore protection works built by the Venetians are still admired.  Very few written reports on the ancient design and construction of coastal structures have survived.  A classic treatise by Vitruvius (27 B.C.) relating the Roman engineering experience, has survived (Pollio, Rowland, and Howe 1999).  Greek and Latin literature by Herodotus, Josephus, Suetonius, Pliny, Appian, Polibus, Strabo, and others provide limited descriptions of the ancient coastal works.  They show the ancients’ ability to understand and handle various complex physical phenomena with limited empirical data and simple computational tools.  They understood such phenomena as the Mediterranean currents and wind patterns and the wind-wave cause-effect link.  The Romans are credited with first introducing wind roses (Franco 1996).

    I-3-2.  Pre-Roman Times

    Most early harbours were natural anchorages in favourable geographical conditions such as sheltered bays behind capes or peninsulas, behind coastal islands, at river mouths, inside lagoons, or in deep coves.  Short breakwaters were eventually added to supplement the natural protection.   The harbours, used for refuge, unloading of goods, and access to fresh water, were closely spaced to accommodate the safe day-to-day transfer of the shallow draft wooden vessels which sailed coast-wise at speeds of only 3-5 knots.

    Ancient ports can be divided into three groups according to their structural patterns and the development of engineering skill (Frost 1963).

    a. The earliest were rock cut, in that natural features like offshore reefs were adapted to give shelter to craft riding at anchor.

    b. In the second group, vertical walls were built on convenient shallows to serve as breakwaters and moles.  Harbours of this type were in protected bays, and often the walls connected with the defences of a walled town (for example, ancient Tyre on the Lebanese coast).  Often these basins were closable to traffic using chains to prevent the entry of enemy ships (Franco 1996).

    c. The third group were harbours that were imposed on even unpromising coasts by use of Roman innovations such as the arch and improved hydraulic cement.  Projects like this required the engineering, construction, and financing resources of a major empire. All ancient ports had one thing in common: they had to be kept clear of silt at a time when mechanical dredging was unknown.  This was accomplished by various means.  One was by designing the outer parts of the harbour so that they deflected silt-bearing currents.  The second was by allowing a controlled current to flow through the port or by flushing it out when necessary by means of channels.  For example, at Sidon, a series of tanks (like swimming pools) were cut into the harbour side of a natural rock reef.  The tanks filled with clear water that was held in place with sluice gates.  When the gates were opened, currents of clear water would flush the inner harbour.  Documentary and archaeological evidence show that both Tyre and Sidon were flourishing and powerful ports from the Bronze Age through the Roman era and must therefore have been kept clear of silt for over a thousand years (Frost 1963).  Another method of preventing silt consisted of diverting rivers through canals so that during part or much of the year, the flow would enter the sea at location
    well away from the harbour.

    The origins of breakwaters are unknown.  The ancient Egyptians built boat basins with breakwaters on the Nile River at Zoser’s (Djoser) step pyramid (ca. 2500 B.C.) (Inman 2001).  The Minoans constructed a breakwater at Nirou Khani on Crete long before the explosion of Santorini (Thera) in ca. 1500 B.C.  The breakwater was small and constructed of material taken from nearby dune rock quarries (Inman 1974, Figure 4).  In the Mediterranean, size and sophistication of breakwaters increased over time as the Egyptian, Phoenician, Greco-Macedonian, and Roman civilizations developed and evolved.  Breakwaters were built in China but generally at a later date than in the Mediterranean.

    Probably the most sophisticated man-made harbour of this era was the first harbour of Alexandria, Egypt, built west of Pharos Island about 1800 B.C. by the Minoans.  The main basin, built to accommodate 400 ships about 35 m in length, was 2,300 m long, 300 m wide and 6-10 m deep.   Large stone blocks were used in the many breakwaters and docks in the harbour.  Alexander the Great and his Greek successors rebuilt the harbour (300-100 B.C.) in monumental scale.  The Island of Pharos was joined to the mainland by a 1.5 km breakwater with two openings dividing two basins with an area of 368 hectares (910 acres) and 15 km of quay front.  Alexandria is probably best known for the 130m-high lighthouse tower used to guide ships on a featureless coast to the port from 50 km at sea.  The multi-storied building was built with solid blocks of stone cemented together with melted lead and lined with white stone slabs.  Considered one of the Wonders of the Ancient World, it eventually collapsed due to earthquakes between 1326 and 1349 (Franco 1996, Empereur 1997).

    Another feature of the Greek harbours was the use of colossal statues to mark the entrances.  Colossal statues of King Ptolemy, which stood at the base of the lighthouse, have been found with the lighthouse debris. Historians report the most famous harbour statue was the 30 m high Colossus of Rhodes, which stood on the breakwater heads.  Three ancient windmill towers are still surviving upon the Rhodes breakwater (Franco 1996).  Frost (1963) notes that the Greeks had used hydraulic cement long before the Romans.

    I-3-3.  Roman Times

    The Romans introduced many revolutionary innovations in harbour design.  They learned to build walls underwater and constructed solid breakwaters to protect exposed harbours.  They used metal joints and clamps to fasten neighbouring blocks together and are often credited with discovering hydraulic cement made with pozzolanic ash obtained from the volcanic region near Naples, which hardens underwater.  Frost (1963) notes that the Greeks had used hydraulic cement long before the Romans.  The Romans replaced many of the Greek rubble mound breakwaters with vertical and composite concrete walls.  These monolithic coastal structures could be built rapidly and required little maintenance.  In some cases wave reflection may have been used to prevent silting.  In most cases, rubble or large stone slabs were placed in front of the walls to protect
    against toe scour.  The Romans developed cranes and pile drivers and used them extensively in their construction.  This technology also led them to develop dredges.  Another advanced technique used for deep-water applications was the watertight floating cellular caisson, precursor of the modern day monolithic breakwater.  They also used low, water-surface breakwaters to trip the waves before they reached the main breakwater.  The peculiar feature of the vertical wall breakwater at Thapsus (Rass Dimas, Tunisia) was the presence of vents through the wall to reduce wave impact forces.  This idea is used today in the construction of perforated caisson breakwaters (Franco 1996).

    Using some of these techniques, the Romans built sophisticated breakwaters at Aquileia, Italy (ca. 180 B.C.), and at Caesarea, Israel (ca. 20 B.C.).  The south-western breakwater at Caesarea contained a “forebreakwater” that acted as a submerged reef that “trips” the wave causing it to break and dissipate energy before encountering the main breakwater  (Inman 2001).

    The largest man-made harbour complex was the imperial port of Rome;  the maritime town at the mouth of the Tiber River was named Portus (The Port).  It is now some four km from the sea, partly buried under Rome-Fiumicino airport.  Despite its importance to the capital of the empire, (300,000 tons/year of wheat from Egypt and France), the harbour always suffered siltation from the river.  Trajan, who also built the ports of Terracina and Centumcellae, built Portus’ inner hexagonal basin.  The port of Centumcellae was built just to serve his villa at a site with favourable rocky morphology.  A grandiose engineering project between 107-106 B.C. created a sheltered bathing and boating retreat.  Slaves from all parts of the empire excavated a harbour and hauled in massive stones to create an artificial harbour to dampen the force of the waves.  After the decline of Portus, it became, and remains, the Port of Rome.  After remaining unchanged for over 1,000 years, the inner Roman Basin, which was dredged from rock (200,000 m3 or 260,000 yd3), is still in use.  Roman engineers also constructed harbours in northern Europe along the main waterways of the Rhine and Danube and in Lake Geneva.  They became the first dredgers in the Netherlands to maintain the harbour at Velsen.

    Silting problems here were solved when the previously sealed solid piers were replaced with new “open”- piled jetties.  In general, the Romans spread their technology throughout the western world.  Their harbours became independent infrastructures, with their own buildings and storage sheds as opposed to the pre-Roman fortified city-enclosed harbours.  They developed and properly used a variety of design concepts and construction techniques at different coastal cites to suit the local hydraulic and morphological conditions and available materials (Franco 1996).

    The Romans also introduced to the world the concept of the holiday at the coast.  The ingredients for beach holidays were in place:  high population density coupled with a relatively high standard of living, a well-established economic and social elite, and a superb infrastructure of roads.  From the end of the republic to the middle of the second century of the empire, resorts thrived along the shores of Latium and Capania, and an unbroken string of villas extended along the coast from the seashore near Rome to the white cliffs of Terracina.  Fine roads connected these resorts to the capital, allowing both the upper crust and the masses to descend from sultry and vapour-ridden Rome to the sea.  For five hundred years, the sybaritic town of Baiae reigned as the greatest fashionable beach resort of the ancient world.  Seneca the Younger called Baiae a“vortex of luxury and a harbour of vice,” an alluring combination that Romans found irresistible (Lencek and Bosker 1998).

    References:

    • Empereur, J. Y.  1997.  “The Riches of Alexandria.” Transcript of a 1997 Interview on NOVA Online, http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/sunken/empereur.html (28 Aug 2000).
    • Franco, Leopold.  1996.  “History of Coastal Engineering in Italy,” History and Heritage of Coastal Engineering, American Society of Civil Engineers, New York, NY. pp 275-335.
    • Frost, H.  1963.  Under the Mediterranean, Marine Antiquities.  Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, N.J.  p 278.
    • Inman, D. L.  1974.  Ancient and Modern Harbors:  a Repeating Phylogeny. Proceedings of the 14th Coastal Engineering Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, June 1974, American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, VA, pp. 2049-2067.
    • Inman, D. L.  2001.  History of Early Breakwaters.  Association of Coastal Engineers Newsletter, Alexandria, VA.
    • Lencek, L., and Bosker, G.  1998.  The Beach:  The History of Paradise on Earth.  Viking, New York, 310 p.
    • Quinn, Alonzo DeF.  1972.  Design and Construction of Ports and Marine Structures, Second Edition, McGraw-Hill Book Company, New York, N.Y., 611p.
  • Akio Toyoda’s Testimony: Getting the Japanese to Admit a Mistake is Easier Said Than Done

    Akio Toyoda’s testimony concerning the woes Toyota is having regarding its spontaneous acceleration makes me think of an incident in my own family business many years ago, as related by the field service man who experienced it.

    In the 1960’s, we imported a Japanese vibratory hammer called the Uraga. It’s purpose was to drive piles by vibrating them into the ground.

    Below: a Uraga unit at a California power plant.

    It was basically a good unit, ahead of its time in many ways.  It inserted the drive motors inside of the eccentric weights which generated the vibrating force, a feature that I’ve not seen before or since.  It also sported a modular construction, which allowed new “layers” to be added to the hammer, increasing the vibrating force.  But that feature made the alignment of the bearings and the eccentrics even more critical than usual; improper alignment led to the rapid internal self-destruction of the hammer.

    We were having this problem with one of the units, so we set our field service man to California.  He met his Japanese counterpart there.  It didn’t take long to figure out what was going on.  Admitting to the problem, however, was another story altogether.  The dialogue between the Vulcan and Uraga service personnel went something like this:

    Vulcan: “This hammer does not work.”

    Uraga: “Yes.”

    Vulcan: “The eccentric bearing bores are out of alignment.”

    Uraga: “Yes.”

    Vulcan: “This is what is causing the problem.”

    Uraga: “Yes.”

    Vulcan: “This happened at the factory, therefore it is your fault.”

    Uraga: “No.”

    Our man found it very difficult for his Japanese counterpart to admit that the factory made this mistake.  But he wasn’t one to take no for an answer, so he persisted, and finally forced a conference call with the factory.  The factory provided a solution and things were better.

    For us and the contractor, at least…for the Japanese service man, it was another matter altogether.  His superiors called him back and told him in no uncertain terms to never, ever put them on the spot like that again.  To make sure he got the message, he was reassigned to a remote place in South-east Asia which, as Vietnam veterans will attest, could be very miserable.

    The key issue here, of course, is saving face.  Losing face is a disaster in the Far East and many other parts of the world.  Part of the Japanese obsession about consensus building–which delayed a solution to both this problem and Toyota’s–is linked to avoiding hanging shame around an individual or individuals in an organisation.  Having that happen can lead to suicide more easily there than here.  There was a time when this was true in Western civilisation, but Christianity showed that suicide is a sin.  Japan, for the most part, is a non-Christian culture, thus their idea is different.

    The Japanese rise after World War II–even with the “lost decade” of the 1990’s–is one of the most remarkable developments in human history.  But it has come in a context of a culture that is very different from ours.  Whether our government will appreciate that will indicate how cosmopolitan our leadership really is.

  • Knowing Who Your Real Friends Are: The Daily Kos and Bill Gothard

    While beating around the net, I came across this bizarre 2008 piece in the Daily Kos:

    The attendance at the Lifebuilders Conference is notable as a very damning link to neopentecostal dominionism; Lifebuilders is a yearly “Lay Missionary” conference of the Church of God of Cleveland, TN, a neopentecostal dominionist group which can be considered a sister church of the Assemblies of God (both are splits from the Christian and Missionary Alliance, one of the earliest pentecostal denominations) and which shares similar theology to the Assemblies; in some ways it is even more explicit, in that part of the church’s mission explicitly calls for growth rates of over 10 percent per year to be expected for churches.

    Let’s see, where do I start?

    1. LifeBuilders is the men’s ministry of the Church of God.  So they’re halfway there: they got the denomination right.  And yes, until our General Assembly in July I’m still working for the Laity Ministries Department, which oversees LifeBuilders.  So I can speak with some knowledge on this subject.
    2. Unfortunately, we don’t have annual, national meetings.  The 2008 series they linked to were sponsored by the then Executive Committee of the church, and that hasn’t been replicated since (the 2008 series was the first in the decade.)  These conferences–dating back to the first one in 1996–were certainly not “Lay Missionary” conferences (our department’s “Consultation on Lay Ministries” comes closer to that description, but they were much smaller.)  So obviously the Kos’ research prowess is either lacking or characteristic, depending upon your point of view.
    3. As far as the church’s growth rate is concerned, one only needs to review this report to see how that’s panned out.
    4. I am blissfully unaware of any connection between the Laity Ministries Department and Bill Gothard.

    And that last point is a good thing for me, because I’m not a big Bill Gothard fan, as regular readers of this blog know.   The Kos series was a) inspired by the fact that Mike Huckabee is a Gothard Man and b) written during his 2008 Presidential run.  The series is designed to inspire fear of the “Gothard cult” in the heart of liberals and other readers.

    Unfortunately, the left doesn’t know when it’s being done a favour, and Gothard, in his own strange way, has done them a big one.

    There’s no question that Bill Gothard is one of the most influential Evangelical leaders of our time.  Although his name has been forgotten, those he trained in the Institute of Basic Youth Conflicts and elsewhere have gone on to become pastors and other leaders in Evangelical Christianity.

    Gothard’s disciplined approach has served these people well in their “moving up in the organisation.”  But the leaders he’s raised up tend to be unimaginative, “inside the box” types of thinkers which have left the Evangelical world in the lurch at at time when it needs really creative people with a fresh view to counter the assault it has received from the other side of the spectrum (and that would certainly include the Daily Kos.)  Gothard people (or those who act like Gothard people, like George W. Bush) are sitting ducks for an opponent who can move fast and outflank them both in the bureaucracy and in the court of public opinion.  The most successful turning of the tables took place after the 1994 election, when Bill Clinton managed to survive a Republican congress and his own scandal woes to win re-election in 1996, and then survive impeachment as well.

    Barack Obama’s election in 2008 was yet another turning the tables on a party full of “Gothard people.”  But Obama and his colleagues in Congress have squandered much of that advantage in their own version of Gothard thinking–by resurrecting the old statism and unionism in the nationalisation of GM and Chrysler, in their attempts to get “card check,” and most famously in the health care initiative.  They have taken a sure victory and turned it into a mess.

    Now the Tea Party activists have their shot at greatness.  But the right in general hasn’t resolved the tension between its insistence on economic and other freedom and the Gothardian obsession for authority.  That tension undid the Bush Administration and, until we get back past the authoritarianism to the freedom, we’re going to have a nation with nowhere else to go but downward.  And Evangelical Christianity, if it continues to blindly tie its fortunes to that nation, will go down with it.

  • Democrats Not Industry Friendly. No Kidding!

    Some people are only now figuring this out:

    Internal Toyota documents derided the Obama administration and Democratic Congress as “activist” and “not industry friendly,” a revelation that comes days before the giant automaker’s top executives testify on Capitol Hill amid a giant recall.

    According to a presentation obtained under subpoena by the House Oversight and Government Relations committee, Toyota referred to the “changing political environment” as one of its main challenges and anticipated a “more challenging regulatory” environment under the Obama administration’s purview.

    Some of us who have been in industry for a long time–and in the case of my family, longer than Toyota–have known this all too well, especially since the 1960’s.  They’ve certainly had help from liberal Republicans, but the truth of the matter is that industry has been a dirty word to many on the Democrat left for half a century and more.

    Adding fuel to the fire, of course, is the simple fact that the Federal government has nationalised GM and Chrysler, a favour to the trade union.  That only tilts the table further.

    I don’t take an uncritical view of Toyota in this situation.  They have some serious problems on their hands, most, IMHO, related to what we used to call RFI (radio frequency interference) in all of the computers that control our cars these days.  But events like this generally lead to grandstanding by self-righteous legislators, expansion of complex regulation (which increases the expense of vehicles) and a process that’s long on getting political mileage out of a situation rather than putting us kilometres down the road to solving our problems.

    Face it: people don’t have to buy Toyota vehicles.  That’s the punishment of our economic system.  If, however, we were to effectively run out of the country those competitors of our state-owned companies, what kind of a choice would we have?

  • Western Grasshoppers and Chinese Ants: Once More With Feeling

    While looking for something completely unrelated, I ran across this September 2007 post which bears repeating:

    “Spengler’s” piece about Western grasshoppers and Chinese ants points out one of the sad facts of U.S. economic policy: its willingness to endure long-term trade deficits without allowing those who accumulate the dollars to invest them in U.S. equities.

    A couple of years ago CNOOC (China National Offshore Oil Corporation) made a bid for Unocal.  In the oil industry, it was yet another consolidation.  But Congress whined and complained and CNOOC backed off.  With this kind of policy in place, Asian investors went where they could.  In many cases this meant the subprime derivatives market, and we all know where that’s gone lately.

    The biggest danger out there is that Asian investors, with a broader view of what’s possible, will cease to see the dollar as a reserve currency and start treating it as a state controlled one.  They well understand the concept of a state controlled currency.  The dollar’s hegemony is largely based on a) the faith people have in the stability of the U.S. and b) the dollar’s ready convertibility.  If that convertibility is compromised by ill-conceived policies of the Treasury Department, it will chip away at both strong points.

    Besides, if they were allowed to more freely invest, it would increase demand for U.S. equities, which would increase their value and thus help pension funds along as well.

    One “back door” solution to this problem would be for Asian investors to participate more in private placements.  Given the nature of Sarbanes-Oxley, this is sensible from a number of standpoints.  But having been already burned with the subprime derivatives, they may not have the stomach to try this on a broad basis.

    This prediction has lumbered to fulfilment in the 3 1/2 years since I made it.  And the U.S. is no closer to allowing for an equity settlement than it was then, or at least it doesn’t look like it is.

    Americans don’t like the idea of the Chinese owning a substantial portion of their economy, even if it is to settle the debt that same Americans (individually and through their government) have incurred.  Now we have rumours of the Chinese military wanting to use the debt as a weapon to retaliate for our arms sale to Taiwan.  But the Chinese, for reasons beyond military ones, need to find a way to get out from under the debt without jeopardising the rest of their holdings.  If they can’t use the equity markets for this purpose, you can be sure that the “Plan B” they come up with will be equally distasteful.

  • Hermilo Jasso: Lee University Professor's Trip to Death's Door in China

    This speaks for itself:
    http://downloads.cbn.com/cbnplayer/cbnPlayer.swf?s=/vod/RWR1v2

    Hermilo Jasso’s website is here.

  • Banning the US Dollar in Old SC

    They’re at it again in South Carolina:

    South Carolina Rep. Mike Pitts has introduced legislation that would mandate that gold and silver coins replace federal currency as legal tender in his state.

    As the Palmetto Scoop first reported, Pitts, a Republican, introduced legislation this month banning “the unconstitutional substitution of Federal Reserve Notes for silver and gold coin” in South Carolina.

    In an interview, Pitts told Hotsheet that he believes that “if the federal government continues to spend money at the rate it’s spending money, and if it continues to print money at the rate it’s printing money, our economic system is going to collapse.”

    “The Germans felt their system wouldn’t collapse, but it took a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread in the 1930s,” he said. “The Soviet Union didn’t think their system would collapse, but it did. Ours is capable of collapsing also.”

    First, a minor correction: the German deflation took place in the 1920’s, not the 1930’s.  Since he brought up the collapse of the rouble with the old Soviet Union, he should have seen it first hand, as I did and describe in Half a Million Roubles. Is it Enough?

    Personally, I wouldn’t waste the SC legislature’s time on something like this.  As long as the USD spends for something, we’re good.  When it doesn’t, we’ll do like the Russians: find another hard currency to deal in.  The people of SC are for the most part enterprising enough to figure this out.

    Ultimately the burden is on the the Federal government to manage the currency–and the country–in such a way that it’s viable.  When it isn’t, we must seek a “Plan B.”  It’s that simple.

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